January 7, 2024No Comments

Dubs Debrief: Drama, Injury, & Trade Talks… And Draymond is (Almost) Back!

In the last 72 hours, SO much has happened with the Warriors -- Both on the floor, and off. Let's dive into it:

Jan 4: Warriors Collapse in Dramatic Fashion to Denver Nuggets

In what is rivaled by only the in-season tournament game vs SAC as the "worst" loss of the year, the Warriors crumbled against Jokic and the defending-champion Nuggets on Thursday night at Chase Center.

The irony here is that, for three quarters, this game was shaping up to potentially be the best win of the season. The Dubs had one of their coveted dominant third quarters, outscoring Denver 44-24. However in the fourth, the Warriors were outscored 34-20, with a stagnant stretch summed up by a 25-4 run for the Nuggets.

Steve Kerr's coaching ability has been on the hot seat as of late, and critics smelled blood Thursday night as the Warriors' shot caller sat Jonathan Kuminga on the bench for the final 18 minutes of the game. Prior to his benching, Kuminga was up to 16 PTS, 4 REB, and 4 AST -- all the while hunting Denver's star PG Jamal Murray and getting him into foul trouble.

The matchup was eventually capped off by a signature Jokic rainbow-three as the Nuggets punted the Warriors at the buzzer. It turned out, this loss was the straw that broke the camel's back...

Jan 5: Jonathan Kuminga "lost faith" in Steve Kerr

The Athletic's Shams Charania dropped an Absolute bombshell Friday morning following the Nuggets loss, with the headline reading "Warriors’ Jonathan Kuminga has lost faith in coach Steve Kerr" (via: The Athletic). The online discourse following the post was heavily in favor of the young Warriors wing:

via @KevinOConnorNBA on X

Fans were also quick to take JK's side:

via @Asensii20 on X

It's long been clear that Kerr is hesitant to develop young players, instead favoring proven vets that have won titles. In a vacuum, it's tough to argue with this logic, right? However in the Warriors' case, the proven vets (read: Wiggins, Klay, Looney) have been playing below, in some cases far below, their ability this season. During this stretch, young and talented players like Kuminga, Moses Moody, and Trayce Jackson-Davis surely could have bailed the Warriors out on more than one occasion. But Kerr remained stubborn and coached the Warriors to their demise while the answers were literally sitting on the bench.

With Kuminga's sentiments being made public to social media, it was clear that he either wants his situation to change, or he wants to be playing with a different name on the front of his jersey.

Here are Steph's thoughts on the Kuminga/Kerr situation:
"I’ve been there before, he’s not wrong in being upset and pissed off, wanting to play," Curry said. "[He] probably should have played – not probably, actually [should have played]." (via NBC Sports Bay Area)

Stephen Curry is on JK's side. He's proud of the rook for voicing his frustration, and firmly believes he should be playing more, too.

Jan 5: Warriors Scrape By vs League-Worst Pistons; Kuminga Season-High Minutes, Paul Injured, Moody Summoned

The Warrior's win over the league-worst Detroit Pistons thanks to Steph Curry's 4th quarter heroics was probably the least interesting thing that happened Friday night.

Following Kuminga's comments to the media, it became known that Kuminga and Kerr had a discussion later in the day on Thursday and were able to clear the air. According to Anthony Slater, Kuminga even said "I love it here" following the conversation. Take that as you will... there may be some sarcasm in there, but it calms the storm for now. And, as a result, JK played a season high 35:38 minutes. In this stretch, he recorded 11 PT and 4 REB on a team-high +/- of 16.

After leaving the game due to his hand getting stuck in a Pistons player's jersey, Warrior's second-unit captain Chris Paul was diagnosed with a fracture to his hand. Paul's camp announced that he will undergo surgery.

via @DrNiravPandya on X

As mentioned above by our favorite Doc, Nirav Pandya, Paul could be out anywhere from 4-12 weeks, depending on the location and severity of the fracture.

As sure as death and taxes, this means more minutes for Cory Joseph in CP3's absence. On the bright side, it also means more minutes for Moses Moody, who received a summoning from the Warriors home crowd on Friday night as fans chanted "Mooooody" for a solid 90-second stretch. Moody is no stranger to Kerr's stubborn coaching, who despite high-effort defense and timely shot making, has racked up a streak of DNP's - much to fans' dismay. Kerr was essentially bullied into playing Mo against the Pistons, and it's about damn time.

Trade Rumors

According to Michael Grange of sportsnet.ca, the Warriors are still reluctant to move Jonathan Kuminga for star Raptors wing Pascal Siakam, who has been linked to the Dubs as early as last season. It's become evidently clear that while Steve Kerr may not believe in JK's full potential, the Dubs' front office certainly does. With this in mind, it's more likely that Andrew Wiggins would be included in a package to Toronto. Wiggs is from Canada, after all.

Other names to look out for on the trade market are Zach Lavine of the Bulls and Lauri Markkanen of the Jazz, who have both been linked to Golden state over the last week. Markkanen is a near perfect fit, given his size and effortless scoring ability that will substantially increase floor spacing next to Steph. Lavine is talented but a less-ideal fit, due to his high usage rate and the need for the ball to be in his hands to reach peak effectiveness.

One dark horse team to watch is the Brooklyn Nets, who could offer the Warriors a strong defensive big man in Nic Claxton and/or a reliable role player in Spencer Dinwiddie. This is unlikely, though, as the Dubs are already full of depth, and have a promising young and talented big in Trayce Jackson-Davis. What the Dubs really need is a star number two option for Steph.

Because the names mentioned above are all desirable to any contending team, they won't be cheap. The Warriors will need to make tough decisions regarding moving young talent or beloved vets as trade talks continue to heat up with the deadline just four weeks away.

Draymond is (Almost) Back!

According to Shams, Draymond has served his time and is ready to suit up in a Warriors uniform again. It's been reported that Green has not been practicing with the squad since his suspension 12 games ago, so we'll see how long it takes him to get his conditioning back. Love it or hate it, the Warriors miss #23 on the court, and their defense will benefit immensely. A key lineup combo to watch will be Draymond + TJD, who will have a potentially dominant defensive ceiling.

Next Up: Siakam & The Raptors

The timing couldn't be more perfect -- the number one linked name to Golden State will be hooping in San Francisco on Sunday night. With the whirlwind of trade rumors, lineup logjams and general buzz surrounding the Warriors over the last week, the Dubs facing off against Siakam is a must-watch. Tune in at 6:30p PST and be sure not to blink, lest you miss another juicy headline story unfold before your eyes. Oh, and it should be a good game, too.

December 4, 20231 Comment

Quarter Season Check-In: Two Roads

By: Matt Anderson

We are twenty games and practically a quarter of the way through the 2023-24 NBA season, which is an excellent time to perform a high-level diagnoses of how the Warriors are doing. Let's start with the hard numbers: they are 9 and 11, 11th in the West. They have an offensive rating of 114.8 (13th), a defensive rating of 114.4 (16th), and a net rating of +0.3 (17th). These numbers are a pretty apt descriptor of a very "meh" performance by the team so far this year.

As listeners to the popular soccer podcast, Men in Blazers, know, there is a German word for "turning point," Wendepunkt. It feels, a quarter of the way through the season that the franchise is at its Wendepunkt. The team started 6-2 despite a brutal schedule that saw them play 8 games in 7 different cities with two back-to-backs thrown in for good measure. They also survived either the literal or figurative absence of Klay Thompson, Andrew Wiggins, and Draymond Green. Since then, the team is 3-9 and has blown leads of 17, 24, and 22 to teams they allegedly will be competing with for a playoff spot. This recent nosedive in performance has prompted the question: Do the Warriors stay true and loyal to the core that won them three titles, regardless of the results, out of respect and reverence? Or is it time to make some people uncomfortable in the hopes of securing another banner?

This Warriors team is older, smaller, less athletic, and slower, than most teams in the NBA. Where they will win is savvy, guile, and experience. So far, however, they have not utilized that advantage. They still turn the ball over way too much. They still foul too much. Many would say that the fouling issue is due to the lack of athleticism, but I would argue they are smart enough to defend without fouling despite that deficit. The problem is that it is the veterans who have been just as guilty as the youngsters of these issues. And this could be where Coach Steve Kerr's philosophy of yanking younger players at the slightest whiff of a mistake has started to act like a double-edged sword. It has conditioned the likes of Jonathan Kuminga and Moses Moody to make smart plays and hustle plays. But at the same time, it has given Steph, Klay, Dray, and Wiggins a greenlight to play however they would like with no fear of consequences. This has led to sloppy turnovers, selfish shot-hunting, lack of hustle, and unhinged behavior on the part of a certain veteran.

For years, this reliance on the vets was a sound strategy; they were simply better than the younger players. But for the first time, that may not be the case. Moody, JK, and Brandin Podziemski have all shown that they are strong, capable players willing to do the little things for the team to succeed. They fight hard every possession and execute well when given the opportunities. Yet, as the recent flameout versus Sacramento showed, that might not matter. Moody had a hot hand as the game tightened, yet he was still taken out in favor of a veteran who provided precisely zero points in the fourth quarter. This not only may have cost the Warriors a much-needed win, but undermined the entire Steve Kerr philosophy of "close with the players of have earned it that night."

It is clear that something needs to change with this Warriors team if the goal is to win as many titles as possible. Is that a trade? Maybe, but that is some very complicated calculus that depends on a lot of factors outside of the team's control (namely, the willingness of another team to make a deal). There are, however, things the team can control that could provide that Wendepunkt. It starts with having tough conversations with the veterans. They need to know they will be held accountable for their detrimental actions, that they are not untouchable. Many have speculated that the team cannot do that because, for example, Klay's ego is too fragile. The man, who is known for his Game 6 do-or-die heroics, who has won four titles, and who has come back from two absolutely devastating leg injuries does not have a fragile ego. People claiming he is not tough enough to handle tough love and demanding standards are not giving him nearly enough credit. Similarly with Draymond, he may think he is untouchable after getting a new contract post-punch. But if his antics continue to be toxic, the team can bench him, and he has no recourse. No team will trade for him; so, it will be shape up or sit down.

In short, if the Warriors want to have even a faint shot at a title, they need to make drastic changes led by their veterans. They need to put all of their energies into playing the smartest, most connected basketball they can. Because they will need every ounce of experience and familiarity to make up for the clear lack of ability to physically match the best teams in the league. They showed they can do it back in 2022. The question remains as to whether that was the last gasp for this group, or if a change in how they've played the last 1.25 seasons can bear the same fruit.

March 9, 2023No Comments

The Warriors Struggle to Flip a Switch… But Which One?

The Warriors scored 128 points Monday night on the back of Stephen Curry’s remarkably efficient 40-point performance (61/63/100 shooting splits). The world’s greatest shooter hit 10 threes for the twenty-third time in his career. These ingredients would typically convert to a dominant win by the dubs. Not this season, as the team fell 128-137 (yes...137) to the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Warriors are severely lacking any semblance of a consistent identity on the road – especially on the defensive end of the floor. Despite the third best defensive rating at home this season (110.0) behind only the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers, the Dubs are 16th in DRTG on the road. Sure, this may be in part due to Wiggins' absence and GPII’s lingering abdominal injury that has prevented him from seeing the floor in blue and gold this season, but based on the eye test, even 16th feels generous.

With Stephen Curry’s return on Sunday vs. the Lakers, you would expect the rest of the roster to play as hard – if not harder – than they were when their superstar was out for 11 games. But, as has been the case all season, this team expects Steph to do it all. Curry tried to practically will the Warriors to a win Tuesday night, while everybody else threw up the white flag. The Thunder are a solid offensive team full of young energy, but 137 points against a supposed “contender” is far too many.

The common narrative amongst fans is that there is trouble brewing in the locker room. What’s more likely is that these issues have been present all season, but they’re just becoming more apparent now as frustration builds around the team’s inability to win on the road (7-25!). Draymond Green’s attitude after Jordan Poole waving him off vs. the Thunder wasn’t just unacceptable – it represents a leader who has given up on his team. As a fan it’s disappointing… but can you blame him?

The front office and coaching staff (particularly Steve Kerr) have been unable to agree on many of the main issues facing the team and its future, and it has become frustratingly obvious that the construction of the current Warriors roster is half-assed.

Some seem to think that the “two-timeline plan” succeeded, but that isn’t the case. The Dubs’ championship roster last year included proven players like Otto Porter Jr., Nemanja Bjelica, and GPII – all of which are not or have not been present this year. This year, young players are more plentiful on the roster. Yet, they still haven’t gotten a chance to develop (see James Wiseman) because the vets aren’t ready to throw it all away to help a younger core learn the game and play through their mistakes.

Joe Lacob wants to have his cake and eat it too. Using your number two overall draft pick on a player who has next to zero high-level competitive basketball experience rather than trading the asset for a game ready vet or two doesn’t exactly scream win now. The Big 3 are fed up with ownership’s lack of faith in their title window, and the young talent is walking on thin ice because they’re afraid to make mistakes. The onus doesn’t fall in the players here – the vets nor the young guys; it falls on the billionaire who thinks he’s above the system. There’s a reason no team has ever pulled off what Lacob is attempting.

Joe Lacob's two-timeline plan is on thin ice.

The Warriors have been able to cover up their unhappiness at home with the crowd behind them – pretending as if everything is okay. But once this team goes on the road and the opponent makes a run with fans taunting to boot, the cracks begin to show. As Steph said following Monday night’s loss to the Thunder, “emotions are all over the place.”

Everybody is expecting the Warriors to flip a switch, but there are simply too many switches to flip. Even if one switch is flipped on, there’s still six more on standby. To make the existing issues worse, the Warriors’ approach has been to chuck up 50+ threes per game, which conveys lazy basketball. To exemplify this, Jordan Poole is shooting just 33.3% from the field and 25.4% from three – on 8 attempts per game – since the all-star break. Time is running out for the Warriors to find themselves.

Watch for Stephen Curry to come out hot once again as the Dubs face off against Dillon Brooks and the Ja-less Memphis Grizzlies this afternoon at 4:30pm PST to close out the road trip. Draymond released a heated (and hilarious) response on his podcast yesterday (he’s still doing that thing?) to Brooks’ jabs, so tensions are sure to be as high as ever. Let’s see if the rest of the team can step up to the plate.

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